Here’s my column from last week’s Leader. It forms part of the paper’s comprehensive pre-match coverage every Friday, featuring interviews, an in-depth look at the opposition and lots of statistical analysis. All content in the column (c) www.leaderlive.co.uk.

joslain_mayebi

There’s no doubt which Wrexham player will have the spotlight trained on him tomorrow.

Joslain Mayebi makes his seventy-fifth league appearance for Wrexham tomorrow and it’s been quite a ride. His error on Saturday was remarkable in the sense that teams are rarely presented a goal in that manner. What’s worrying is that it didn’t feel more remarkable in the other sense of the word: it was hardly the first time Jos had done something like that.

You know what you get with Mayebi: Dean Saunders and then Andy Morrell have had to decide if they’re happy with it. Mayebi is agile and acrobatic. He makes spectacular saves: some of them are perhaps more spectacular than they have to be; some, like a tip over at Aldershot last month and a reflex save at Nuneaton, are absolutely out of the top drawer.

He also makes mistakes, and like his saves, he doesn’t do them by halves.

The Cambridge gaffe wasn’t the first time he’s conceded a goal with a ball at his feet as he was tackled at Tamworth, where he had to make a fine save later in the game to rescue an identical situation to last Saturday’s.

He also took some criticism for failing to keep out Halifax’s third goal and Steve Tomassen’s own goal for Braintree, and the powerful shot which gave Aldershot the lead rather went through him.

It’s not as if such moments are out of character. Twice last season he had a go at an opponent after he had the ball safely in his hands, on one of those occasions conceding a penalty and getting a red card as a consequence. The question for Morrell is whether the balance between the excellence and the errors is still in his favour.

The best goalkeeper in Wrexham’s history in terms of goals conceded per game is a statistic which I’ve regularly mentioned in the last few years. This is partly because our recent strength at the back has made an impact on that record, but probably more importantly because I was the bloke who ploughed through the record books and worked it out!

Anyway, Maxwell was top of the list for a while, the only goalie in our history who conceded less than a goal a game on average. Until Mayebi came along, that is. Mayebi took his place, and eventually he took his spot at the top of the pile too.

At the end of last season Mayebi had conceded an average of 0.81 goals per game compared to 0.86 per game by Maxwell. But this season the tables have turned. Mayebi has let in twenty goals in twelve games and his average has gone up to 0.93.

Of course, you could argue that this particular statistic is a reflection of the state of a side’s defence rather than a measure of its goalkeeper. Maybe so, but there’s no doubt that some of the errors listed above contributed to the decline in Mayebi’s figures.

The issue confronting Morrell is whether the increase in goals Mayebi is conceding represents a tipping of the balance I mentioned before.

One response to “Leader Column: The Mayebi Balancing Act”

  1. […] couldn’t help but feel for Andy Coughlin, brought in to replace the unreliable Mayebi and helpless to prevent either goal. A remarkable clearance off the line from an Andy Bishop shot […]

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